Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 5.298120 5.784616 6.315906 6.942864 7.667286 8.483928 9.482618
2025-03-02 4.408973 5.042018 5.784537 6.733396 7.934305 9.433390 11.496714
2025-03-09 3.900764 4.596285 5.451427 6.605787 8.166125 10.271516 13.463077
2025-03-16 3.568662 4.301940 5.236969 6.555623 8.437783 11.154257 15.652830
2025-03-23 3.390348 4.172929 5.205020 6.722308 9.006771 12.538583 18.973664
2025-03-30 3.129695 3.905763 4.952693 6.536321 9.012183 13.037163 20.929920
2025-04-06 2.907016 3.669390 4.717325 6.341034 8.963170 13.419772 22.772293
2025-04-13 2.715446 3.460651 4.501444 6.147808 8.883152 13.721734 24.540612
2025-04-20 2.583793 3.326126 4.380455 6.085465 9.006994 14.410001 27.412522
2025-04-27 2.522317 3.286414 4.393905 6.234110 9.511580 15.931179 33.003830
2025-05-04 2.474012 3.261492 4.425785 6.413290 10.095240 17.757194 40.552541
2025-05-11 2.384359 3.169280 4.346201 6.394493 10.299859 18.806336 46.491976
2025-05-18 2.312512 3.107088 4.320736 6.488232 10.786189 20.768827 57.954718
2025-05-25 2.186538 2.956825 4.146548 6.305020 10.690550 21.303983 64.666687
2025-06-01 2.085578 2.839313 4.017118 6.189831 10.721125 22.194648 74.409530
2025-06-08 2.006862 2.751795 3.930477 6.144345 10.896085 23.559438 89.249231
2025-06-15 1.970027 2.727711 3.947208 6.295604 11.544930 26.623425 123.323461
2025-06-22 1.881267 2.615907 3.807205 6.126823 11.407674 27.115826 139.414780
2025-06-29 1.797541 2.508497 3.668744 5.949361 11.224138 27.403589 155.445919
2025-07-06 1.719837 2.407625 3.536335 5.773525 11.021073 27.570211 171.938195
2025-07-13 1.666173 2.343735 3.465195 5.716739 11.114779 28.906979 212.388154
2025-07-20 1.645311 2.332611 3.486220 5.852091 11.737212 32.688339 335.579853
2025-07-27 1.629151 2.328297 3.518803 6.015050 12.473165 37.529969 620.893990